Many Republicans think the failure of Obamacare is going to usher in a new era in politics. Joseph M. Koenig at American Thinker has a good answer for that kind of thinking — here are several excerpts from a recent post:
The chances of meaningful Republican control at the federal level for the foreseeable future are dismal, at least as the term “Republican” has been traditionally understood. This is not new; Republican irrelevancy has been growing for a long time. ObamaCare’s epic failure to launch may offer the Republicans a boost in 2014, but over the long term the dependency created by the healthcare program will only worsen Republican prospects.
Aside from the two terms of President George W. Bush, the White House has been Democrat-controlled real estate for over 20 years. And those two Bush terms very nearly didn’t happen.
Regarding the 2000 election, he writes:
With Gore winning more overall votes, can it really be said that Republican or conservative ideas were victorious?
We all know about 2004, too, when GWBush won reelection only because of the marriage protection amendment driven turnout in Ohio.
The two biggest Republican electoral successes over the last two decades were the gains made in 1994 and 2010, two off-year, mid-term election cycles. The off-year electorate is older, and much more politically aware. Many less involved voters (a majority of whom would vote Democrat) simply stay home on election day. Just as Democrats tend to do better in polls of registered voters, and Republicans do better among likely voters, Republicans tend to be more apt to turn out in off-year elections.
American society as a whole has moved Leftward over the last few decades. Millennials now hold a more favorable view of socialism than capitalism. The amount of government spending directed toward entitlement programs more than doubled since the beginning of the Clinton era. Food stamp and disability rolls are at all-time highs. The percentage of Americans receiving government assistance has reached, or likely surpassed, a tipping point.
After the tea party led to gains in 2010, and the continuing failure of Obama’s economic policies, hope on the Republican side was high that the tide could finally be turned back in 2012. It was, in the minds of many on the right, the last chance to repeal ObamaCare, and end the Leftist advance. The re-election of President Obama was a knee to the midsection of many conservatives, and they have yet to regain their breath.
As gloomy as the forecast may appear, the ship can yet be made seaworthy. The truth is on the side of conservatism. The truth, properly wielded, can be an immensely powerful weapon. But the truth will not help you if you cannot expound it, or are too timid and embarrassed to espouse it. If the Republican Party can learn to unashamedly embrace and articulate that truth, things could be turned around. It is a public relations battle, a battle for the hearts and minds of the American people, and while the Republicans have been losing that battle for years, but the truth always has a chance.
Unless the GOP becomes the party that stands for and embraces the truth, and finds its courage and willingness to fight, the American people had better start taking swimming lessons.