Brandon Finnigan’s “myth” is something that so many in politics prefer to ignore. For example, many if not most political veterans believe the electoral map has an unbreakable “blue wall.” Until it doesn’t.
On Election Night 2016, I found myself at BuzzFeed’s offices in New York City.
They had embarked on a bold live streaming show with the aim of mocking traditional network coverage and providing a fun, straight-to-the-point program of returns, tweets, and Millennial-centric fare. Behind the scenes, this meant practice runs of the night.
Our first trial rehearsal involved a scenario many at the time thought unlikely, if not impossible: a Trump win.
And the trial we ran, in fact, turned out to be closer to the reality of the night than any publicized election whiz’s projection.
His victory wasn’t out of the blue: The New York Times’ Nate Cohn had written about his potential to tap white blue-collar voters north of the Mason-Dixon line, I’ve spilled ink here and at The Federalist describing the changing registration patterns and untapped voters, and the Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman waxed about Pennsylvania’s value back in June. But it was still a shock that, after the Keystone State had tempted and ensnared so many Republicans, it was Donald Trump and his team who took it home.
Pennsylvania’s intransigence, and then substantial shift into the red column, symbolizes this year’s surprising lesson:
It is foolish to look at the national map as a collection of red and blue states. Over the long march of time, all of them are purple.
Utah voted for Johnson. Georgia voted for Clinton. Texas for Carter. New York for Reagan. California for H.W. Bush. Minnesota for Nixon.
States may favor, for a variety of reasons, one party, but they are not permanently locked in — crackpot conspiracies of deliberate demographic changes through immigration and equally crackpot proclamations of demographics-driven eternal victories be equally damned.
Read more at: National Review